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The Black Swan
The Impact of the Highly Improbable
Taschenbuch von Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch

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Beschreibung
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Über den Autor
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
Genre: Importe, Politikwissenschaft & Soziologie
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
Inhalt: 366 S.
ISBN-13: 9780141034591
ISBN-10: 0141034599
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: B-format paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Penguin
Penguin Classics
Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Petersen Buchimport GmbH, Vertrieb, Weidestraße 122 a, D-22083 Hamburg, gpsr@petersen-buchimport.com
Maße: 127 x 194 x 33 mm
Von/Mit: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Erscheinungsdatum: 28.02.2008
Gewicht: 0,358 kg
Artikel-ID: 101943061
Über den Autor
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
Details
Erscheinungsjahr: 2008
Genre: Importe, Politikwissenschaft & Soziologie
Rubrik: Wissenschaften
Medium: Taschenbuch
Inhalt: 366 S.
ISBN-13: 9780141034591
ISBN-10: 0141034599
Sprache: Englisch
Originalsprache: Englisch
Ausstattung / Beilage: B-format paperback
Einband: Kartoniert / Broschiert
Autor: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
Auflage: Trade Paperback
Hersteller: Penguin Books Ltd (UK)
Penguin
Penguin Classics
Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Petersen Buchimport GmbH, Vertrieb, Weidestraße 122 a, D-22083 Hamburg, gpsr@petersen-buchimport.com
Maße: 127 x 194 x 33 mm
Von/Mit: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Erscheinungsdatum: 28.02.2008
Gewicht: 0,358 kg
Artikel-ID: 101943061
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