Richard K. Betts is Leo A. Shifrin Professor of War and Peace Studies in the Department of Political Science and School of International and Public Affairs at Columbia University, Adjunct Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, and author of American Force, Enemies of Intelligence, Military Readiness, Surprise Attack, and other books.

Preface

PART I Visions of Conflict and Peace

1.1 The End of History?

Francis Fukuyama

1.2 Why We Will Soon Miss the Cold War

John J. Mearsheimer

1.3 The Clash of Civilizations?

Samuel P. Huntington

1.4 The Strongmen Strike Back

Robert Kagan

PART II International Realism: Anarchy and Power

2.1 The Melian Dialogue

Thucydides

2.2 Doing Evil in Order to Do Good

Niccolò Machiavelli

2.3 The State of Nature and the State of War

Thomas Hobbes

2.4 Realism and Idealism

Edward Hallett Carr

2.5 The Origins of War in Neorealist Theory

Kenneth N. Waltz

2.6 Hegemonic War and International Change

Robert Gilpin

2.7 Power, Culprits, and Arms

Geoffrey Blainey

PART III International Liberalism: Institutions and Cooperation

3.1 Perpetual Peace

Immanuel Kant

3.2 Peace Through Arbitration

Richard Cobden

3.3 Community of Power vs. Balance of Power

Woodrow Wilson

3.4 Liberalism and World Politics

Michael W. Doyle

3.5 Power and Interdependence

Robert O. Keohane and Joseph S. Nye

3.6 The Obsolescence of Major War

John Mueller

PART IV Psychology and Culture: The Human Mind, Norms, and Learning

4.1 Why War?

Sigmund Freud

4.2 How Good People Do Bad Things

Stanley Milgram

4.3 War and Misperception

Robert Jervis

4.4 Spirit, Standing, and Honor

Richard Ned Lebow

4.5 War Is Only an Invention-Not a Biological Necessity

Margaret Mead

4.6 People Must Have a Tribe

Edward O. Wilson

4.7 Men, Women, and War

J. Ann Tickner

PART V Economics: Interests and Interdependence

5.1 Money Is Not the Sinews of War, Although It Is Generally So Considered

Niccolò Machiavelli

5.2 The Great Illusion

Norman Angelll

5.3 Paradise Is a Bazaar

Geoffrey Blainey

5.4 Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism

V. I. Lenin

5.6 Imperialism and Capitalism

Joseph Schumpeter

5.7 War as Economic Policy

Alan S. Milward

5.8Structural Causes and Economic Effects

Kenneth N. Waltz

5.9 Trade and Power

Richard Rosecrance

PART VI Politics: Ideology and Identity

6.1 Democratization and War

Edward D. Mansfield and Jack Snyder

6.2 Nations and Nationalism

Ernest Gellner

6.3 Possible and Impossible Solutions to Ethnic Civil Wars

Chaim Kaufmann

6.4 The Troubled History of Partition

Radha Kumar

PART VII Military Technology, Strategy, and Stability

7.1 Cooperation Under the Security Dilemma

Robert Jervis

7.2 The Offensive/Defensive Balance of Military Technology

Jack S. Levy

7.3 Why Nuclear Proliferation May Be Good

Kenneth N. Waltz

7.4 Why Waltz Is Wrong

Scott D. Sagan

7.5 The Dynamics of Cyber Conflict

Robert Jervis and Jason Healey

7.6. Is Strategy an Illusion?

Richard K. Betts

PART VIII Terrorism, Revolution, and Unconventional Warfare

8.1 The Strategic Logic of Terrorism

Martha Crenshaw

8.2 Speech to the American People

Osama bin Ladin

8.3 Science of Guerrilla Warfare

T. E. Lawrence

8.4 On Guerrilla Warfare

Mao Tse-Tung

8.5 Patterns of Violence in World Politics

Samuel P. Huntington

8.6 Insurgency and Counterinsurgency

David Galula

8.7 Principles, Imperatives, and Paradoxes of Counterinsurgency

Eliot Cohen, Conrad Crane, Jan Horvath, and John Nagl

8.8 The "Hearts and Minds" Fallacy

Jacqueline L. Hazelton

PART IX Threat Assessment and Misjudgment: Recurrent Dilemmas

9.1 The German Threat? 1907

Eyre Crowe and Thomas Sanderson

9.2 The German Threat? 1938

Neville Henderson

9.3 The Threat to Ukraine From the West

Vladimir Putin

9.4 China: The Return of Bipolarity

Oystein Tunsjo

9.5 China: The Overestimated Threat

Michael Beckley

9.6 How Could Vietnam Happen? An Autopsy

James C. Thomson, Jr

PART X New Threats and Strategies for Peace

10.1 Environmental Changes as Causes of Acute Conflict

Thomas F. Homer-Dixon

10.2 Why Cyberdeterrence Is Different

Martin C. Libicki

10.3 The Dark Side of Progress

Fred C.Iklé

10.4 A World of Liberty Under Law

G. John Ikenberry and Anne-Marie Slaughter

10.5Peace Among Civilizations?

Samuel P. Huntington